The Blog
Data driven analysis of how close the world is to systemic war, from the team behind the Worldwarometer.
The Flagship Question
Will WW3 Start Soon? Here's Where 2026 Sits on the Last World War's Timeline
2026 maps to 1937. What the Worldwarometer measures, how the 89 year offset works, and what would move the needle in either direction.
August 8, 2026
The Teams
The Axis and Allies of WW3: Who Is on Each Side in 2026
The US led order versus the revisionist bloc, mapped onto 1941, and the three wildcards that decide it: India, Turkey and China.
August 8, 2026
The Data
How Bad Are Today's Wars? The Intensity of 2026's Conflicts, Measured
Eight active wars, 3.2 percent of world GDP on militaries, 29.1 percent of humanity beside a combat zone. The full intensity dataset.
August 8, 2026
The Pattern
Why World Wars Happen Every 90 Years or So: Five Cycles Since 1635
Five systemic wars in four centuries, each measured by share of world GDP inside combat zones. The next window opened in 2022.
August 8, 2026